Monday, December 2, 2013

The Washington Malaise


I rarely talk about my line of work, but sometimes it’s appropriate, as in the case of two diseases infecting our nation’s capital.  The chief Washington malaise that most people refer to is one I see every weekday.  I see the posturing, the politicking, and the primping all firsthand.  And I love it…the DC dysfunction makes every day something new, exciting, and unexpected.

And yet, the residents of DC have recently griped about another problem that lies far beyond the vaunted halls of power: the Washington Redskins.  The chief question that I continue to encounter is how a team that played well last year is so bad now, having been officially mathematically eliminated from the playoffs this week.  Chiefly, why is Robert Griffin III so bad?  This single query has prompted many heartbreaks and frustrated vents than any I’ve seen in my time as a DC resident.  We all knew previous teams and players were bad…no one called for the coach’s head when Patrick Ramsey didn’t work out.  We might’ve when Donovan McNabb played poorly, or when Albert Haynesworth refused to even look at one of his teammates.  But the success bred high expectations, which has in turn caused another Washington Malaise: the messianic cult surrounding Kirk Cousins.

Before I go to great lengths, I will fully accept that it may be time to give him some playing time now that we have lost any chance of the playoffs.  I also will say that Cousins strikes me as a great guy and one that has provided an admirable amount of insurance for a backup quarterback.  He’s been thrown into games with no warning, his arm resembling a popsicle, and has played alright.

Yet, Cousins is not the answer.

Many of you might be wondering why I would take the time to write what will in the end look like a fairly common sense piece.  Truthfully, it’s because tons of people are seriously telling the sports world that Cousins should play.  I’ve heard the term “fluke” applied to Griffin recently, and Jon Gruden said he thought Cousins should absolutely play before the season’s end.  Ravens lineman Chris Canty said the same thing this past week.  That’s all well and good, and I have to admit that I will gladly accept the argument that Cousins should play at some time in order to keep Griffin healthy.  But there are much better arguments for Griffin to not only play, but to play the entire season:

1.      We bet the farm on him

Many are now pointing out that our trade with St. Louis is likely not going to work out in our favor.  That’s likely true, but Griffin proved last year that he is worth the investment.  Ultimately, the entire question should rest on whether Average Fan believes Griffin is worth what the team paid for him.  Seeing as he won the division title last year and the NFC East shows no sign of improving, the case is open and shut.  He deserves more than 29 regular season games before being told that Washington “wants to see what we have” in Kirk Cousins.  We made the gamble, and it’s time to see if it plays out.

2.      He needs the reps

We all saw what happened when Griffin returned with no preseason.  We have noticed his inability to read coverages, elude pressure, and make good decisions.  He often overthrows receivers, and throws into triple coverage a fair amount.  Having been the starting quarterback for almost a full two seasons, it’s not that he needs to study the playbook.  We are talking about execution, and keeping Cousins in games hinders Griffin from making the proper adjustments.

3.      The team cannot afford to poison its relationship with RGIII

Before putting up deceptively bad numbers in Arizona, Carson Palmer told the Bengals he wanted no part of their organization.  Cincy recovered, but he had led them to the playoffs and to serious contention in the AFC North.  But a bad relationship poisoned that team’s potential success.  Every Redskin fan should worry about RGIII in this regard.  He’s young, impressionable, and new to the cutthroat dynamics of the NFL locker room.  I fully agree that he needs to jettison his father from the picture, but the team should not do anything that might cause Griffin to think he doesn’t have the full organization behind him.  His personality is such that he will view events in that light, as was apparently felt  during the lead-up to the season opener, in which he rushed back to save his job from the evil clutches of Cousins.  The young man needs to work on that, but let’s not give him extra reason to think he isn’t welcome.

4.      Good young quarterbacks take time

Especially for those quarterbacks with a large running portion of their game, it’s necessary to give them a little time.  No one is discussing Cam Newton, but his quarterback rating in his second season was right where Griffin’s is right now (83.3).  Or Drew Brees, who in his second year of starting games threw more picks than touchdowns and had a rating of 76.9 with a 2-9 record before being hurt!  (Before you O-line people bring that up, Brees only was sacked 24 times his first year…Griffin has already been downed 33 times this season).  In Michael Vick’s second full season as a starter, he threw 14 touchdows and 12 picks while sporting a rating of 78.1, and that was a playoff team.  I am not, of course, saying Griffin will be like either Newton or Brees, but let’s not act as if we “need to see” what the backup has only two seasons into the great experiment.  While the NFL has plenty of examples where sophomores didn’t pan out, the potential upside is worth the trouble.  We all hope we have a Tom Brady or even a Tony Romo on our bench, but let’s not get crazy here, which brings me to my final point…

5.      Cousins is not good

Bill Barnwell wrote an excellent piece on why the Skins have failed this year.  I’m going to parrot one of his stats: Cousins has thrown five picks on 57 pass attempts, which would equate to 48 interceptions in a full season.  I also watched his game against the Ravens last year in which he showed great flashes of brilliance, but his win against the Browns continues to be ballyhooed beyond all recognition:  Cousins threw an admittedly very impressive 329 yards against a Browns defense that gave up the 8th most passing yards in the league last season.  While he deserves credit for leading the team to a comeback victory in that game, any honest football fan should not take the performance in one game as any kind of guarantee.  Ask the Seahawks and Raiders how that worked out with Matt Flynn.  Are we really going to sit a guy that led us to the division title last year in favor of a possible Matt Flynn impersonator?  While I realize his numbers were good in spot action, the eye test does not tell me that we have a Kurt Warner currently riding the pine.  Frank Reich and Ty Detmer played great games during their careers, but were perennial backups who couldn’t land a starting job.  I’m not about to recommend that Cousins play considering how good RGIII was last year…the talent levels aren’t even close.

That’s my case…five points in all.  I actually suggest that those who want Cousins to start promptly shut it and focus on Christmas shopping.  This team, while terrible, does not need a quarterback controversy and, truthfully, the situation doesn’t merit one.  According to stats from last Sunday night, the Redskins have spent the largest percentage of their gameplay while trailing.  The season has been miserable and represents a giant step backward for the organization, but the calls for a quarterback change, even for a little bit, are supremely misguided and, frankly, idiotic.