Don’t get me wrong…the new playoff system dwarfs the BCS in efficiency and fairness. Giving more teams a chance to play for a championship in college football will be must-see TV. Amazingly, however, the calls for a playoff system ignored the use of higher technology in the process, preferring the human element of a selection committee or some other body. In the days of instant replay, helmet radios, and coach’s challenges, the computers failed in college football. A mish-mash of polls, human and computer, might bring the top two teams together, but gives no transparency to how exactly those teams reached a championship game.
For that reason, I’ve been uncomfortable with the idea of an NCAA Football Selection Committee. Transparency increases slightly, but the committee will meet behind closed doors and emerge with the alleged top four teams in the sport. As great as the system sounds, do we really want a Bubble Watch every December? I envision teams packed into a small room waiting for the Selection Committee’s unveiling, probably during an ESPN special where they announce one team every 30 minutes. As recently as 2003, USC claimed to be a champion based on a #1 rating in the AP poll. A poll like that with many voters acts like a selection committee in my mind, without the tense waiting period we see with the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament, whose entrants are also selected by a committee.
The further we progress down this road of committees, the problems will likely multiply. In contrast to the BCS system, however, the team that finishes at #5 can now point the finger at someone to complain, rather than blaming a complex computer rubric that no one understood. In that sense, accountability increases dramatically. Will that force increased transparency as well? Possibly.
My objection notwithstanding, we have a Selection Committee. Now, who should be on it?
I’m not a huge fan of athletic directors making this call. For that matter, I don’t believe in any university or former university official making these kinds of judgments. Bobby Bowden, the octogenarian and former coach of Florida State, said last week when confronted with a decision between an equal Southern team and a West Coast team, he would pick the Southern team. Doesn’t sound like much, but the truth is inherent biases will reign supreme in that room come selection time. And, unlike the men’s basketball tournament, there are only 4 slots, not 30 plus. Also dissimilar from basketball will be the amount of money for these games, possibly triple the current BCS revenues, which means biases on the committee’s part mean a lot financially.
And given that revenue, the BCS and NCAA should consider paying committee members. If colleges might make that much money through a four-team playoff format, spending a couple million to get the selection process right. Give some sheckels to the committee members and create the added incentive to really make sure all that money goes to the deserving programs every given year. No incentive works better than money.
Overall, I’m sure the NCAA would never adopt a committee that didn’t contain athletic directors and university officials. ADs, however, will have the same conference and school biases you might expect from coaches and any attempt at logrolling or vote exchanges in the committee room will be decreased significantly given the small amount of teams in the competition. So, let’s add some of the more distinguished press members to that committee. Sure, it sounds ridiculous, but press members from national media outlets will be less biased and better prepared than most athletic directors.
Perhaps I’m over exaggerating the bias of a committee of 15 members, but unfortunately bias exists and might easily color the high-stakes selections of football semifinalists. At this stage, the NCAA has done a lot to make the system fairer and more exciting. But with increased fairness, the powers that be should also watch for biases inherent in any committee. Athletic directors obviously worked hard to achieve their positions in college sports, but how often do they pay attention to the national landscape over the course of a season? Enough to truly pick the four best teams? I doubt it.
Bit #1: New Head Coach for the Caps
On Tuesday, the Caps announced the hiring of a new head coach: former captain Adam Oates. Being able to remember Adam Oates separates longtime Caps fans from Red Rockers of the past 5 years. He led the Caps to the Stanley Cup Finals in 1997 as the central pivot on star Peter Bondra’s line. Even more important for coaching, he has been an assistant in New Jersey the last three years, reaching the Finals a month ago in a losing effort.
I like the hire, mainly because Oates made his NHL mark through assists, not necessarily high-flying offense. He might be considered the Nicklas Backstrom of the 90s for the Caps, a fantastic center who could dominate either side of the ice. He will be one to emphasize shot blocking for this team that rode their defensive efforts to a great effort in the playoffs. If all reports from New Jersey are to be believed, Oates formed a great relationship with Russian star Ilya Kovalchuk, boding well for his future with Alex Ovechkin in DC.
Bit #2: Dwight Howard reaps what he sows
Reports out of Houston point to the Houston Rockets stockpiling draft picks in order to trade for Dwight Howard, a prospect that does not appeal to him. He wants to be in Brooklyn, playing with Deron Williams and taking advantage of the Big Apple media market.
I don’t blame him for that, but when he bought in to the next year with Orlando he opened the possibility of being traded somewhere else. Howards seems to have no understanding of the business side of basketball, believing he can get his way whenever he asks. An early post of mine lampooned Howard for acting half his age, and in that trend he’s progressed further. A player might be able to demand a trade, but to make that request, buy into the next season when not traded, and now complain about possibly being traded makes very little sense. In the star-driven NBA, Howard has tried to make his wishes known but refuses to hear any location other than Brooklyn and maybe Dallas. I don’t understand who’s advising him, but they need to be fired for bringing their client through the public opinion mud. First he waffled on his desire to leave Orlando, then orchestrated tacitly or explicitly the firing of a top-5 head coach, depriving the Magic organization of a central plan for the next three years.
Bit #3: Another argument for replay in baseball
During the Indians-Yankees game on Tuesday, Yankees right fielder DeWayne Wise appeared to make a foul ball catch in the stands, despite the ball hitting off his glove and ending up in a fan’s hands. The umpire called the out without checking for the ball in Wise’s glove, and then threw the batter out for arguing after the fact.
Obviously, a 4-0 midseason game will not provide much impetus for replay in baseball, but this kind of play could happen in a playoff series with higher stakes. While the argument for instant replay remains fractured, one aspect to consider would be using manager’s challenges. Give each manager two challenges each game. With the large amount of umpire calls in a game, challenges would be a good way to use replay without eliminating the human element valued by so many baseball purists. Regardless, this was a horrendous call that has no place in any baseball game, midseason or otherwise.
Bit #4: Who Will Be Number Two pick in NBA Draft?
The NBA will draft players on Thursday night, a one night affair that will provide some intrigue for the underachieving teams of last season. While Kentucky star Anthony Davis will go to the Hornets with the first pick, the Charlotte Bobcats must decide their course with the #2 pick. They should be able to move down in the draft, but the press releases over the last few days have been very interesting as to the media part of draft strategy. The Bobcats want Thomas Robinson of Kansas, who they can move to #4 to get, according to them. Well, all of a sudden the Wizards want Robinson too at #3. And that’s the beauty of any draft: a franchise could find their next superstar, so these decisions can have a huge effect on the future of some teams. Watch the intrigue unfold on Thursday.
Bit #5: Euro Semifinals
Starting with Portugal-Spain on Wednesday, the Euro 2012 semifinals begin. The Iberian peninsula will be alight on Wednesday with patriotic fervor, as countries ravaged by lagging economies can focus on their athletic achievements. Cristian Ronaldo will be the key to this game…his play during the tournament has been exquisite, cashing in at the proper times to give Portugal critical goals. I’m picking Portugal to score a great upset.
For Germany-Italy on Thursday, the overriding factor will be Germany’s ability to score against the staunch Italian defense. After Italy’s inability to score against England on Sunday, a team they outplayed, Germany should win this game. Very little can beat the semifinals of a major soccer tournament, so be sure to watch.