Friday, September 13, 2013

No Title Needed, just Bits


I didn’t have anything to write about this week, so here we go on some Bits

Bits #1: Re-thinking the Patriots in the AFC Championship

Bill Belichick is a genius.

Anyone else watch the slug and snooze last night?  The Patriots have now beaten the Bills and Jets, two teams with rookie quarterbacks, by a combined five points.  The same offense averaged just over 35 points per game last year until running into the Ravens in the AFC Championship.

Bill Belichick is a genius.

And yet, Tom Brady can’t seem to get his offense going.  Danny Amendola, held together by peanut butter, had his first injury of the season this past week.  Stevan Ridley, who scored double-digit touchdowns last year, can’t hold onto the ball (he almost fumbled again at a crucial moment last night), and the best receiver on the field right now is known as a punt returner and former college quarterback.  The big rookie additions at receiver, at least based on last night, dropped the ball often and, even more often, ran incorrect routes.

Bill Belichick is a genius.

We’ve seen Tom Brady thrive with receivers like Reche Caldwell (who somehow gained almost 700 yards and had 5 TDs in that one season with the team).  The hurry-up approach plays to his strengths.  What’s better, the power behind the throne has a system that, allegedly, works very well in all situations.  Remember Matt Cassel leading New England to a 10-6 season (this was before Cassel started auditioning for Kansas City Dogcatcher)?  It’s a plug and chug…no matter what happens we can trust in Saint Bill, for…

Bill Belichick is a genius.

But, for whatever this is worth, I am rescinding my prediction that this team makes the AFC Championship.  Rob Gronkowski’s return will certainly help the Pats, but their dependency on unproven or brittle receivers (Gronk has his share of surgeries) will bite this team.  Tom Brady’s legacy will have to wait another year.  While I watched the game last night, I constantly thought about how much Wes Welker helps in a game like that…sure hands, yards-on-demand, diverting the defense…the list goes on.  And yet, he isn’t there now in what looks to be a galactically stupid personnel decision in New England.  I’m calling it now…this team doesn’t win a playoff game.

Bill Belichick is a genius.

Bit #2: Anyone else tired of Thursday Night Football?

I enjoy coming home on Thursday night and unwinding with football as much as the next guy, but there is a noticeable decline in the quality of the games on Thursday compared to Sunday.  For one, the matchups generally scrape the bottom of the weekly barrel in order to placate the networks in Sunday and Monday primetime.  Last year, only three matchups (Green Bay-Chicago, New Orleans-Atlanta, and a Seattle-San Fran matchup that no one thought would be good) were at all worth watching.  This year, we get Giants-Chicago and New Orleans-Atlanta as the marquee matchups, but otherwise the schedule is pretty terrible, lowlighted by Browns-Bills in a few weeks.  Admittedly, NFL Network does a good job reeling in big teams most weeks, but their competition usually is never up to par.  Remember this hall of horrors last year: KC-San Diego, Indy-Jacksonville, and Miami-Buffalo? 

In the end, I am just complaining for no real reason, as the NFL will never forego the revenues of a mid-week game.  But, seriously, these games leave a lot to be desired every single week.

Bit #3: Put a fork in the O’s

It’s painful to say this, but the Orioles are in all likelihood out of the Wild Card race after losing three out of four to the surging Yankees this week.  With their next bevy of games in Toronto, Boston, and Tampa, the O’s need to absolutely clean up in order to have any chance at catching the Rays, who are currently only 1 game clear of New York.  The Indians also sit between Baltimore and the playoffs, so we have to wonder what the cause of this was.  A team many thought would challenge for the division will likely fall just short of the postseason.  And it comes down to Jim Johnson, their closer.  As of August 15, he’s blown nine saves.  Admittedly, Johnson has more save opportunities than most other closers, but those kinds of collapses can kill a team, especially one that posted such a ridiculous winning percentage in one run games last year.

On the other side, I bet neither Tampa nor the Yankees make it in.  Of all the teams in the mix, Cleveland has the easiest schedule, playing the White Sox, Twins, and Astros.  That said, a four game series with the Royals, 2 ½ games back themselves, will be big.  For the AL East teams involved, they all must play Toronto and Boston.  The Rays will also play both the O’s and Yanks, meaning there’s going to be a fair bit of volatility in the standings.  Even factoring in that the Indians are from Cleveland, I bet they prevail and make the postseason.

Bit #4: A&M won’t win

This is a great sports weekend.  I probably should have led with this game, since it’s been talked about for months, but my whining about Thursday nights takes precedence.  We’ve all heard about Johnny Manziel this summer, a fact I laboriously pointed out last week.  For this week, all attention will be on how he does in a home matchup against Alabama.

When looking at this game, I confess that I didn’t watch either of these teams during their first few games.  For Alabama, the box score tells us that the offense barely got going against Virginia Tech.  Just over 200 yards of offense for the Tide, that needed two special teams touchdowns to win the game.  A&M has yet to play any substantive competition, so it’s anybody’s guess on their success this weekend, but we can draw a few thoughts.  First, Bama brings last year’s national championship roster into College Station.  A lot of these players won big games last year and the year before, so they will likely not be very intimidated by the 12th Man atmosphere.  That said, the offensive line lost many of its starters to the NFL, meaning running back T.J. Yeldon may have tough going.  For A&M, they still have arguably the best player in college football leading the charge.  Manziel started his Heisman campaign in Tuscaloosa last year and I don’t count on him blowing this game at all.  On the other side of the ball, however, the players that exerted the most pressure on AJ McCarron last year have all left for the NFL.  Throw in a spate of defensive suspensions by Kevin Sumlin for the previous two games, and we have no idea how well this Aggie team will perform defensively.

As such, I give the edge to Bama.  I trust Kirby Smart to learn from the loss last year and any offensive woes won’t stick around for long with this team.  I say Bama 21-17.

Bit #5: SI Piece on Oklahoma St

I’ve been following the weeklong articles from SI that revealed huge malfeasances at Oklahoma State as far as its football program.  We’re talking most of what has regrettably become all-too-familiar.  Cash, drugs, academic misconduct, and racy recruiting visits all permeate the rather surprising allegations.  An even worse part of all this is that former coach Les Miles and current coach Mike Gundy are mentioned as being involved in all these behaviors.  Admittedly, the article does not seem to provide definitive proof that either Miles or Gundy took any kind of organizational hand, but player did report that a certain attitude came down from the top.  Miles, especially, is repeatedly indicated as the driving-force behind these developments, supposedly to bring Oklahoma State to national prominence.  The discussion of a hostess service that allegedly paid sexual favors to recruits made my skin crawl most of all.

The big problem of course is that these things are rapidly becoming par for the course in college football.  Helping not at all is the NCAA, an increasingly feckless organization that bungled the last program torpedoed by investigative journalism.  I am referring to Miami and the inability of the NCAA to find any evidence of violations.  I realize many readers take these stories with a grain of salt, which I get.  But I tend to think the players that give interviews for these stories are telling the truth…the problem is we have become de-sensitized and a little too comfortable with the culture surrounding college football.  I don’t have a solution or proposal, but before too long these types of stories will become the rule and not the exception.

Bit #6: NFL Power Rankings…such as they are after one week

1.      Denver (1-0) 

Would you want to play these guys after last Thursday?

 

2.      49ers (1-0)

Big win against Green Bay last Sunday, and Kaepernick continues to look good, whether in the pocket or out.

 

3.      Saints (1-0)

Running game definitely needs to improve but beating your chief divisional rival out of the gate looks pretty good.  Also, they gave up 367 yards, a modest figure compared to last year.

 

4.      Packers (0-1)

Two big corners injured left the secondary gashed in San Fran, but Aaron Rodgers can still put up massive numbers.  Expect their record not to be great all season, but this is a good team.

 

5.      Bears (1-0)

I am normally not this high on the Bears but after beating a very capable defense in Cincy last week they have shown the Trestman offense has some ability.

 

6.      Bengals (0-1)

Based purely on competition, the Bengals put in a good Week 1 showing last week.  A primetime game this weekend will be an interesting test case for the offense.

 

7.      Seahawks (1-0)

Purely symptomatic of playing one week, but a pedestrian 12 points against a perennially bad defense can’t be sneezed at.  The biggest game of the week, however, is their tilt against the Niners.

 

8.      Falcons (0-1)

Like the Bengals, a good showing against a tough team and in a tough building.  Matt Ryan threw for over 300 yards and, with Steven Jackson gaining 77 yards on the ground, the offense looks balanced.  Let’s see how healthy their receivers are against St. Louis.

 

9.      Texans (1-0)

In the top 10 based purely on resume, not their showing against San Diego, even if it was gutsy.

 

10.  Patriots (2-0)

Similar to Texans, this definitely isn’t based on their slim victories over rookie QBs, but it’s Week 2 so this will all change.

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